Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +150 UNI -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +2 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -12.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -8.9 (-6.9) | 151.5 (+28.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -6.4 (-4.4) | 147.0 (+33.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -8.8 (-6.8) | 148.4 (+31.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -9.3 (-7.3) | 149.2 (+30.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#98) | -1.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#47) | -1.64 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#65) | -1.85 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#25) | 0.421 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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