Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -1400 EVAN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -11.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -11.0 (-4.0) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -9.8 (-2.8) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -11.3 (-4.3) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -10.8 (-3.8) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | EVAN 91 – 89 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#107) | -3.6 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#101) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#103) | -0.19 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#99) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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