Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -1450 EVAN +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -16.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -15.3 (-6.3) | 129.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -14.2 (-5.2) | 130.2 (-3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -14.4 (-5.4) | 131.2 (-4.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -15.0 (-6.0) | 130.0 (-3.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | EVAN 91 – 89 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#84) | -8.7 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#120) | -1.52 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#118) | -1.91 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#94) | 0.440 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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