Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -1600 EVAN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -16.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -12.1 (+4.9) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -12.8 (+4.2) | 132.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -11.6 (+5.4) | 132.6 (-3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -11.7 (+5.3) | 133.1 (-4.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | EVAN 91 – 89 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#94) | -7.4 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#114) | -1.21 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#117) | -1.27 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#110) | 0.438 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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