Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -205 YSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +15 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -1.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.8 (+13.2) | 141.4 (+31.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.8 (+13.2) | 143.1 (+29.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.1 (+13.9) | 142.9 (+30.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.6 (+14.4) | 142.7 (+30.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NKU 79 – 76 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#205) | -0.3 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#176) | -0.43 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#194) | -0.66 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#230) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.