Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -150 NKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -4.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.8 (+8.2) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.0 (+8.0) | 140.8 (-7.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.3 (+8.7) | 138.2 (-5.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.2 (+8.8) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NKU 79 – 76 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#190) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | -0.23 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#196) | -0.39 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#236) | 0.482 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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