Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -135 NKU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.2 (+3.8) | 148.6 (-26.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.3 (+3.7) | 149.8 (-27.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.5 (+3.5) | 150.7 (-28.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.7 (+3.3) | 150.2 (-28.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NKU 79 – 76 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#195) | -1.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#238) | -0.24 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#227) | -0.35 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#271) | 0.498 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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