Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NKU +100 YSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -0.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.5 (+3.5) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.2 (+4.2) | 143.3 (+11.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.6 (+3.6) | 144.2 (+10.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.5 (+3.5) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#222) | 1.9 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#263) | 0.49 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#259) | 0.53 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#259) | 0.518 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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