Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -275 NKU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +30 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -7.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -7.2 (+22.8) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -7.1 (+22.9) | 147.0 (-13.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.9 (+24.1) | 146.8 (-12.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.9 (+23.1) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NKU 79 – 76 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | -0.9 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | -0.40 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#148) | -0.36 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#134) | 0.483 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.