Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -425 MSM +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -14.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -12.0 (-1.0) | 142.6 (+6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -11.2 (-0.2) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -10.9 (+0.1) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -11.0 (-0.0) | 139.9 (+9.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | QUIN 77 – 62 MSM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MSM 96 – 79 QUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | QUIN 79 – 65 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#169) | -10.8 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#109) | -1.96 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#100) | -2.73 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#108) | 0.411 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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