See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Metro Conference · Knott Arena · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money MSM +150 / QUIN -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total MSM win
Actual QUIN +34 148 Lost
Massey MSM -2.9 (-36.9) — —
Massey Totals — 143.1 (+4.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MSM -0.9 (-34.9) 139.5 (+8.5) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MSM -0.3 (-34.3) 140.1 (+7.9) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MSM -1.5 (-35.5) 136.2 (+11.8) 59% ✗
Baseline ML MSM -1.6 (-35.6) 135.9 (+12.1) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 QUIN 77 – 62 MSM
Jan 4, 2026 QUIN 80 – 69 MSM
Mar 7, 2025 QUIN 79 – 70 MSM
Feb 10, 2024 MSM 96 – 79 QUIN
Jan 26, 2024 QUIN 79 – 65 MSM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MSM QUIN
Overall 23-13 20-13
Conference 12-8 15-5
Home 10-4 12-2
Away 9-8 7-10
Neutral 4-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.3 74.0
Avg Pts Against 70.7 72.2
Massey -3.8 (#227) -3.0 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#156) 0.02 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.08 (#177) -0.10 (#178)
RPI 0.518 (#143) 0.521 (#136)
Shooting & Four Factors MSM QUIN
FG% 42.8% 40.1%
3PT% 32.9% 26.9%
REB / G 36.9 38.6
OREB / G 10.5 12.9
AST / TO 0.98 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 45.3%
TOV% 21.4% 17.6%
ORB% 30.1% 34.0%
FT Rate 24.1% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 17.9%
DRB% 70.1% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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