Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MSM +180 QUIN -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -4.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -3.7 (-11.3) | 142.0 (-3.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -2.3 (-12.7) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -4.2 (-10.8) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -3.0 (-12.0) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | QUIN 80 – 69 MSM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MSM 96 – 79 QUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | QUIN 79 – 65 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#300) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#268) | 0.32 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#276) | 0.47 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.529 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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