Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -175 MSM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -5.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.7 (+8.3) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | QUIN -5.7 (+8.3) | 147.7 (-3.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | QUIN -5.8 (+8.2) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -5.2 (+8.8) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | QUIN 77 – 62 MSM |
| Jan 4, 2026 | QUIN 80 – 69 MSM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MSM 96 – 79 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#195) | -3.1 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#129) | -1.60 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#147) | -1.76 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#137) | 0.416 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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