Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MSM +110 QUIN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +17 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -0.3 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.4 (+18.4) | 149.5 (+25.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -0.7 (+17.7) | 147.6 (+27.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.3 (+18.3) | 146.1 (+28.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.2 (+18.2) | 148.3 (+26.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | QUIN 77 – 62 MSM |
| Jan 4, 2026 | QUIN 80 – 69 MSM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Jan 26, 2024 | QUIN 79 – 65 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#235) | -0.0 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#301) | 0.93 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#290) | 0.65 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#295) | 0.546 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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