Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -500 MSM +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -6.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -4.5 (+4.5) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.7 (+3.3) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -4.9 (+4.1) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -4.4 (+4.6) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | QUIN 77 – 62 MSM |
| Jan 4, 2026 | QUIN 80 – 69 MSM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | QUIN 91 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MSM 96 – 79 QUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | QUIN 79 – 65 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -5.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#171) | -0.25 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#170) | -0.66 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#113) | 0.515 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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