Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -340 WYO +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -3.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -6.8 (+13.2) | 149.2 (-13.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -4.9 (+15.1) | 145.5 (-9.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -5.3 (+14.7) | 147.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -4.9 (+15.1) | 147.4 (-11.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 WYO |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UNM 61 – 53 WYO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UNM 91 – 73 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNM 77 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UNM 87 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#70) | 9.4 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#41) | 0.83 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#48) | 0.91 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#35) | 0.527 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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