Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
New Mexico Lobos
78 – 58
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · January 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -7.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money UNM -340 / WYO +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual UNM +20 136 Won
Massey UNM -3.3 (+16.7) — —
Massey Totals — 150.8 (-14.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNM -4.9 (+15.1) 147.4 (-11.4) 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNM -6.8 (+13.2) 149.2 (-13.2) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -4.9 (+15.1) 145.5 (-9.5) 73% ✓
Baseline ML UNM -5.3 (+14.7) 147.2 (-11.2) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO
Mar 9, 2023 UNM 87 – 76 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 26-11 18-15
Conference 13-7 9-11
Home 17-3 14-4
Away 7-5 3-10
Neutral 2-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 80.8 76.2
Avg Pts Against 71.6 72.9
Massey 8.9 (#70) 9.4 (#67)
Bradley-Terry 2.32 (#41) 0.83 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.89 (#48) 0.91 (#115)
RPI 0.609 (#35) 0.527 (#117)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 44.8% 47.1%
3PT% 31.0% 34.3%
REB / G 36.1 38.8
OREB / G 9.8 12.8
AST / TO 1.16 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 54.1%
TOV% 16.2% 17.2%
ORB% 28.1% 36.1%
FT Rate 28.5% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 19.6%
DRB% 71.3% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 39.6%

Game Analysis

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