Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +400 UNM -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +18 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -12.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -11.4 (-6.6) | 153.5 (+10.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -10.5 (-7.5) | 152.4 (+11.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -11.4 (-6.6) | 154.1 (+9.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -11.8 (-6.2) | 155.0 (+9.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNM 78 – 58 WYO |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 WYO |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UNM 61 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNM 77 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UNM 87 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 15.7 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#121) | 2.35 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#145) | 2.75 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#109) | 0.634 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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