Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +270 UNM -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +8 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -4.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-40.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -3.7 (-4.3) | 149.4 (-35.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -3.6 (-4.4) | 146.2 (-32.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -3.2 (-4.8) | 145.9 (-31.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -2.9 (-5.1) | 148.0 (-34.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNM 78 – 58 WYO |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UNM 91 – 73 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNM 77 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UNM 87 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#152) | 9.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#164) | 2.07 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#151) | 2.84 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#182) | 0.583 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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