That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
New Mexico Lobos
77 60
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · January 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -16.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money UNM -1700 / WYO +950
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual UNM +17 137 Won
Massey UNM -18.8 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 153.8 (-16.8)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML UNM -17.1 (-0.1) 150.8 (-13.8) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -14.9 (+2.1) 150.9 (-13.9) 89%
Baseline ML UNM -15.3 (+1.7) 150.9 (-13.9) 87%
Baseline Plus ML UNM -15.5 (+1.5) 150.3 (-13.3) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 7858 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 7167 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 6153 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 9173 WYO
Mar 9, 2023 UNM 8776 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 26-10 15-17
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 13-3 9-5
Away 5-6 3-10
Neutral 8-1 3-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.8 71.6
Avg Pts Against 71.2 75.6
Massey 13.2 (#26) -1.5 (#194)
Bradley-Terry 2.11 (#36) 0.12 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.48 (#49) 0.11 (#168)
RPI 0.609 (#29) 0.513 (#152)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 46.3% 43.8%
3PT% 35.6% 37.9%
REB / G 39.6 33.0
OREB / G 12.8 9.9
AST / TO 1.44 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 49.9%
TOV% 14.9% 20.7%
ORB% 33.0% 30.4%
FT Rate 24.6% 31.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 19.2%
DRB% 74.0% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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