Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -1700 WYO +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -18.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -15.5 (+1.5) | 150.3 (-13.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -17.1 (-0.1) | 150.8 (-13.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -14.9 (+2.1) | 150.9 (-13.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -15.3 (+1.7) | 150.9 (-13.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNM 78 – 58 WYO |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 WYO |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UNM 61 – 53 WYO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UNM 91 – 73 WYO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UNM 87 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#26) | -1.5 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#36) | 0.12 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#49) | 0.11 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#29) | 0.513 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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