I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
New Mexico Lobos
71 – 67
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · February 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -16.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money UNM -2000 / WYO +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual UNM +4 138 Won
Massey UNM -17.4 (-13.4) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (-7.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNM -16.2 (-12.2) 141.8 (-3.8) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNM -15.5 (-11.5) 141.2 (-3.2) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -16.4 (-12.4) 143.1 (-5.1) 89% ✓
Baseline ML UNM -16.2 (-12.2) 143.0 (-5.0) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO
Mar 9, 2023 UNM 87 – 76 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 27-8 12-20
Conference 17-3 5-15
Home 15-1 8-7
Away 7-4 3-10
Neutral 5-3 1-3
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 79.3 65.8
Avg Pts Against 70.6 70.7
Massey 13.9 (#35) -0.3 (#169)
Bradley-Terry 2.63 (#33) 0.04 (#167)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.80 (#15) -0.10 (#176)
RPI 0.614 (#24) 0.481 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 45.8% 43.5%
3PT% 34.6% 34.9%
REB / G 40.8 34.2
OREB / G 12.4 10.0
AST / TO 1.32 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 50.7%
TOV% 15.5% 20.1%
ORB% 31.7% 30.0%
FT Rate 25.4% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 16.0%
DRB% 74.3% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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