Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +124 RICH -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -1.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.8 (-7.2) | 133.9 (+24.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.3 (-7.7) | 135.1 (+22.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.6 (-7.4) | 132.9 (+25.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.0 (-8.0) | 134.4 (+23.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | RICH 70 – 66 FOR |
| Feb 1, 2024 | RICH 83 – 69 FOR |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RICH 68 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 19, 2022 | RICH 83 – 70 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#192) | 3.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#263) | 0.37 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#246) | 0.75 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#308) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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