Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +13 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -0.2 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.8 (-11.2) | 141.2 (+11.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.4 (-12.6) | 139.6 (+13.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.5 (-12.5) | 140.4 (+12.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.2 (-12.8) | 142.1 (+10.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | RICH 83 – 75 FOR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RICH 70 – 66 FOR |
| Feb 1, 2024 | RICH 83 – 69 FOR |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RICH 68 – 58 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | 4.1 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#153) | 0.75 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#145) | 0.92 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#157) | 0.532 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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