Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +110 RICH -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.4 (-11.6) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.7 (-9.3) | 137.9 (+14.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.4 (-9.6) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.1 (-8.9) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | RICH 83 – 75 FOR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RICH 70 – 66 FOR |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RICH 68 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 19, 2022 | RICH 83 – 70 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-11 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#216) | 1.86 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#221) | 2.03 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#205) | 0.582 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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