Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -213 FOR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -3.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -3.0 (+7.0) | 136.2 (-10.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.1 (+8.9) | 138.7 (-12.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -1.2 (+8.8) | 137.8 (-11.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.5 (+8.5) | 136.4 (-10.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | RICH 83 – 75 FOR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RICH 70 – 66 FOR |
| Feb 1, 2024 | RICH 83 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 19, 2022 | RICH 83 – 70 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 18-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 1.24 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#157) | 1.20 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#173) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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