Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -485 LT +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -12.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -8.9 (-3.9) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -7.5 (-2.5) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -8.8 (-3.8) | 132.9 (-5.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -9.2 (-4.2) | 133.3 (-6.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WKU 76 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#127) | -6.0 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#126) | -0.55 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#138) | -1.15 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#125) | 0.454 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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