Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LT -215 WKU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LT -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -4.3 (+5.7) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -4.2 (+5.8) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -3.1 (+6.9) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -3.1 (+6.9) | 142.4 (+1.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WKU 76 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#131) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#115) | 0.44 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#114) | 0.25 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#92) | 0.534 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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