Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -125 LT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -1.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.5 (-4.5) | 140.9 (+33.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -1.9 (-4.1) | 142.5 (+31.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -0.8 (-5.2) | 141.4 (+32.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.3 (-4.7) | 142.5 (+31.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WKU 76 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#147) | 6.8 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#133) | 0.97 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#133) | 1.48 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#128) | 0.573 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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