Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -120 LT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -1.9 (-0.9) | 142.9 (-15.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -1.7 (-0.7) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.4 (-1.4) | 144.0 (-17.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.1 (-1.1) | 144.9 (-17.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WKU 76 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#140) | 1.6 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | 0.85 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | 0.98 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#139) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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