Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LT -500 WKU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -11.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -11.7 (-16.7) | 145.8 (+11.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -9.7 (-14.7) | 144.9 (+12.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -12.0 (-17.0) | 144.2 (+12.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -11.5 (-16.5) | 145.3 (+11.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WKU 76 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#69) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#84) | 0.19 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#72) | 0.23 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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