Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -213 LT +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -1.5 (+8.5) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -1.0 (+9.0) | 142.4 (-0.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.1 (+7.9) | 147.5 (-5.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.3 (+8.7) | 148.9 (-6.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#167) | 1.6 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#157) | -0.06 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#176) | -0.10 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#189) | 0.500 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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