Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -120 NMSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -1.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -0.8 (+7.8) | 134.4 (+36.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -0.0 (+7.0) | 132.3 (+38.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -0.1 (+7.1) | 134.2 (+36.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -0.2 (+7.2) | 134.7 (+36.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | MOST 84 – 75 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#221) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 0.75 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#198) | 1.08 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.