Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -410 NHVN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -8.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -6.0 (+5.0) | 129.2 (+3.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -5.7 (+5.3) | 131.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -5.6 (+5.4) | 131.7 (+1.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -5.8 (+5.2) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CCSU 81 – 76 NHVN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#243) | -10.3 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#229) | -1.68 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#250) | -2.36 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#211) | 0.475 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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