Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -345 UTEP +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -10.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -9.3 (+2.7) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -7.1 (+4.9) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -8.2 (+3.8) | 146.6 (-6.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -8.3 (+3.7) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FIU 72 – 68 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | -6.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | -2.19 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#146) | -1.85 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#126) | 0.430 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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