Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -500 FIU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -9.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -8.6 (+5.4) | 141.8 (-1.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -7.9 (+6.1) | 140.2 (-0.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -8.0 (+6.0) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.5 (+6.5) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FIU 72 – 68 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#138) | -5.1 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#98) | -1.41 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#126) | -1.51 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#79) | 0.413 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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