Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +105 UTEP -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -1.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.8 (-5.2) | 142.1 (+11.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.8 (-6.2) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.9 (-6.1) | 140.2 (+13.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.4 (-6.6) | 142.1 (+11.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FIU 72 – 68 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | 1.2 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#292) | 1.22 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#272) | 0.80 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#318) | 0.561 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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