Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -400 FIU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -8.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -6.9 (+0.1) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -6.0 (+1.0) | 142.6 (+16.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -6.8 (+0.2) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.0 (+0.0) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FIU 72 – 68 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#186) | -6.9 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#212) | -1.17 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#191) | -1.19 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#234) | 0.424 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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