Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -110 UTEP +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -2.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -0.2 (+3.8) | 142.0 (-2.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.6 (+2.4) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -0.9 (+3.1) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.6 (+3.4) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#269) | -4.2 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#301) | -0.68 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#283) | -0.86 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#307) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 38.8% |
Game Analysis
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