Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -102 FIU -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -2.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.8 (+7.8) | 144.3 (+15.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -2.0 (+8.0) | 143.1 (+16.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -1.9 (+7.9) | 144.3 (+15.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -2.2 (+8.2) | 145.7 (+14.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FIU 72 – 68 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#269) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#296) | -0.68 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#283) | -0.68 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#277) | 0.466 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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