Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UNCW -1050 HAMP +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +4 | 94 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -13.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-46.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -11.3 (-7.3) | 133.8 (-39.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -11.1 (-7.1) | 134.0 (-40.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -9.9 (-5.9) | 133.7 (-39.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -10.3 (-6.3) | 135.0 (-41.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNCW 75 – 67 HAMP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 70 UNCW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNCW 83 – 62 HAMP |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UNCW 95 – 65 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 12-2 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#126) | -6.4 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#113) | -1.14 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#117) | -1.87 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#115) | 0.430 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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