Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +900 UNCW -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +30 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -15.1 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -13.9 (-16.1) | 147.0 (+13.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -13.9 (-16.1) | 146.9 (+13.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -14.2 (-15.8) | 146.7 (+13.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -12.8 (-17.2) | 146.5 (+13.5) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNCW 75 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNCW 49 – 45 HAMP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 70 UNCW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNCW 83 – 62 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#345) | 4.3 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#357) | 1.29 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.85 (#357) | 1.38 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#361) | 0.578 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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