Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNCW -400 HAMP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -6.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -5.0 (+9.0) | 137.4 (+6.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -6.7 (+7.3) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -4.7 (+9.3) | 137.5 (+6.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -5.1 (+8.9) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNCW 75 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNCW 49 – 45 HAMP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 70 UNCW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNCW 83 – 62 HAMP |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UNCW 95 – 65 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#110) | -2.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#103) | -0.42 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | -0.51 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#82) | 0.497 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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