Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -278 INST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -8.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.8 (-3.8) | 148.0 (-2.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.0 (-6.0) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.6 (-3.6) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.1 (-3.1) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | INST 75 – 67 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#140) | -2.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#228) | -0.31 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#196) | -0.99 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.495 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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