Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -1000 INST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -14.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -12.6 (-8.6) | 133.8 (+32.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -12.5 (-8.5) | 135.9 (+30.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.1 (-9.1) | 138.7 (+27.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -13.6 (-9.6) | 137.3 (+28.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | INST 75 – 67 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 81.5 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | -3.4 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#32) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#39) | -0.41 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#36) | 0.492 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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