Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | INST +280 DRKE -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | INST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -7.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.2 (-9.8) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.1 (-10.9) | 135.5 (-11.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -8.2 (-9.8) | 140.3 (-16.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.8 (-10.2) | 140.8 (-16.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | INST 75 – 67 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 60.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#233) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#206) | 2.26 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#207) | 2.63 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#228) | 0.598 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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