I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Rider Broncs
65 74
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · January 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SIE -8.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money RID +350 / SIE -455
Model Predictions
Spread Total RID win
Actual SIE +9 139 Lost
Massey SIE -12.0 (+3.0)
Massey Totals 128.5 (+10.5)
Bradley-Terry 2%
Weighted B-T 0%
Baseline Plus ML SIE -11.0 (+2.0) 128.9 (+10.1) 14%
Model 4 ML SIE -10.6 (+1.6) 129.4 (+9.6) 16%
Model 3 ML SIE -12.2 (+3.2) 129.8 (+9.2) 14%
Baseline ML SIE -12.2 (+3.2) 129.6 (+9.4) 14%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 SIE 7661 RID
Mar 11, 2025 RID 7876 SIE
Feb 8, 2025 RID 6159 SIE
Feb 3, 2024 RID 9150 SIE
Dec 2, 2023 SIE 6765 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RID SIE
Overall 4-25 23-12
Conference 3-17 13-7
Home 4-9 9-4
Away 0-16 9-7
Neutral 0-0 5-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 62.6 70.4
Avg Pts Against 76.8 65.8
Massey -16.1 (#355) -0.3 (#170)
Bradley-Terry -4.69 (#365) 0.00 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.60 (#365) -0.22 (#182)
RPI 0.371 (#352) 0.503 (#171)
Shooting & Four Factors RID SIE
FG% 36.3% 44.6%
3PT% 25.8% 28.2%
REB / G 37.1 33.9
OREB / G 13.5 10.6
AST / TO 0.64 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 40.1% 49.0%
TOV% 20.6% 16.2%
ORB% 34.3% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.8% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 20.3%
DRB% 66.8% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 21.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.