Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Siena Saints
67 – 65
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · MVP Arena · December 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RID -2.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money SIE +150 / RID -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual SIE +2 132 Won
Massey RID -8.1 (+10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 128.7 (+3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RID -6.9 (+8.9) 130.2 (+1.8) 26% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RID -7.5 (+9.5) 130.0 (+2.0) 29% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RID -7.6 (+9.6) 128.0 (+4.0) 27% ✗
Baseline ML RID -7.7 (+9.7) 126.5 (+5.5) 26% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 SIE 76 – 61 RID
Jan 4, 2026 SIE 74 – 65 RID
Mar 11, 2025 RID 78 – 76 SIE
Feb 8, 2025 RID 61 – 59 SIE
Feb 3, 2024 RID 91 – 50 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE RID
Overall 4-28 15-17
Conference 3-17 12-8
Home 2-12 9-4
Away 2-13 6-12
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 60.4 70.8
Avg Pts Against 74.4 72.3
Massey -20.2 (#362) -5.9 (#280)
Bradley-Terry -2.85 (#343) -1.73 (#306)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.49 (#346) -2.53 (#303)
RPI 0.294 (#358) 0.430 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE RID
FG% 41.7% 36.2%
3PT% 28.3% 22.5%
REB / G 34.0 39.0
OREB / G 12.5 12.2
AST / TO 0.62 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 39.5%
TOV% 27.2% 18.7%
ORB% 36.2% 28.4%
FT Rate 14.6% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.9% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 13.6%
DRB% 68.3% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 15.0% 31.8%

Game Analysis

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