Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | RID +115 SIE -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -2.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.1 (+4.1) | 139.3 (-19.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -1.1 (+3.1) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.4 (+4.4) | 139.8 (-19.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.6 (+4.6) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SIE 67 – 65 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#317) | -4.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#302) | -0.53 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#314) | -0.61 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#311) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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