Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RID +170 SIE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -4.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.8 (+4.8) | 139.0 (+15.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -1.7 (+3.7) | 139.5 (+14.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.1 (+4.1) | 140.5 (+13.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.6 (+4.6) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SIE 67 – 65 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#307) | -4.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#275) | -0.81 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#291) | -0.90 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#276) | 0.489 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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