Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -1450 RID +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -17.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -13.5 (+1.5) | 134.0 (+3.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -13.8 (+1.2) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -13.6 (+1.4) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -13.6 (+1.4) | 133.3 (+3.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SIE 67 – 65 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 9-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | -16.6 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#192) | -3.06 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#199) | -3.90 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#171) | 0.391 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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