Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RID -500 SIE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +41 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | RID -13.1 (+27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -11.0 (+30.0) | 137.6 (+3.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -9.2 (+31.8) | 138.7 (+2.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -10.0 (+31.0) | 135.1 (+5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -10.6 (+30.4) | 135.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SIE 67 – 65 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-12 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | -15.8 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#284) | -2.36 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#285) | -3.06 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#258) | 0.400 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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